Question:
On 17/10/2016, the start of the
battle to regain Mosul was announced, what is intended by this? How can we
understand the previous statements of the American officials who were expecting
the battle of Mosul to take place after many years? Will this be the end of
ISIS, if they are removed from Mosul? Why was there bickering between the Iraqi
government and the Turkish regime? And why is Turkey insisting on participation
in the war?
Answer:
1- Scruitinising the current events
one can view it as an episode in a series of episodes aiming for the completion
of the dismantling of Iraq to establish a region for the Sunnis and another for
the Shiites after the Kurdish region has become strikingly visible. This policy
was not initiated by America today nor since the occupation of Iraq, but before
that, since the time America imposed the no-fly zones on northern Iraq in 1991,
where the Kurdistan region has become a quasi-state! When America occupied Iraq
in 2003, the regime that was set by Bremer, to govern occupied Iraq was on a
sectarian basis of sectarian and religious quotas.
Bremer set up the so-called Iraqi
Governing Council in July; and in August 2003, he appointed a preparatory
constitutional committee composed of 25 members. The Committee formulated a
draft constitution making Iraq a federal state based on regions such as the
Kurdistan region, and then the general elections were held to vote for it on January
31, 2005, to legitimize the constitutional process as stipulated in the
Transitional Administrative Law. Despite the twisted methods that used and
included violence, only 58% of registered voters actually voted, and so this
constitution was passed! From the articles of this Constitution include:
Article 1 of the
Constitution of the Republic of Iraq for the year 2005 states that “the
Republic of Iraq is a federal state”. Article 116: “The federal system
in the Republic of Iraq constitutes decentralized capital and regions and
provinces and local administrations.” Article 117 / I ruled that “this
Constitution recognizes the execution of the Kurdistan region and the existing
federal region powers.” Looking at
the authorities of this region, it reflects the extent of the dismantling of
Iraq in the near future! And in particular, Article 119 states: "the
possibility of introducing other regions" ... So America has sown the
seeds of the dismantling of Iraq through this notorious, even worse,
Constitution.
2- America has
felt vainglory after the success of the adoption of the Constitution of the
dismantling of Iraq, and assigned its agents, at the top of their priorities to
prepare a general atmosphere for its acceptance, but they did not succeed. Areas
that became known as Shiite and Sunni did not have separatist activity even under
the name of regions, this labeling of areas as Shiite and Sunni did not even
exist and was strange to the people... America began to create the atmosphere following
its method so it sought out Al-Maliki, a person saturated with hatred against
Islam and Muslims, and appointed him as the prime minister in 20/5/2006. His
primary mission was to find hostility between Sunnis and Shiites in a way that
escalates major discord between them! Its puppet Al-Maliki was an excellent
sectarian, he provoked and agitated the others, the atmosphere and the regions
became ripe for the split, he has been successful in this role.
Al-Maliki planted
enmity with Sunnis and Kurds until the partition of Iraq has become the demand
of many people ... Al-Maliki succeeded in creating this hostility and in generating
an atmosphere for the division of the regions, which is the main mission he was
hired for as prime minister by America. This was the reason why America extended
his ruling period until September 8th, 2014. This period of his
reign was dark. When America had left in its military form on December 2011, while
in reality remained in the security and political control. The tree of sedition
(fitna) had thrived, Al-Maliki increased its evil fruits, by his distinctive
oppression and arrogance, every time it died down, he would ignite it again
with his provocative actions and statements ... and the sectarian incitement
was escalated and gave birth to the creation of armed Shiite militias.
America had found
the man for the job, Al-Maliki, to deepen the rift between the Muslims, he deliberately
provoked the Sunnis, with all his hatred, cunningness, oppression and control
... If people demanded the lifting of
injustice or of their rights, he would tyrannize them, and reject any right belonging to them. As with the
people of the Sunni areas when they organized peacefully in protest in 2012
with regular demands concerning the lifting of injustice against them and the
release of their prisoners, especially women, and to stop the random night
raids. It did not including any demand to overthrow the regime, but Al-Maliki's
government dismissed them, and regarded them as demands serving the terrorists,
and he began to crush peaceful protests to increase tension among the people of
this region to demand secession or the establishment of a federal region. Al-Maliki
and his government did not implement this without the behest or with the
consent of his American masters because they control him. Besides that, some
Shiite movements called for the establishment of the territory of the Shiites
in the south, along the lines of the Kurdistan region even before the outbreak
of the peaceful protests in Anbar. It did not stop at this point, but neighboring
countries raced in emphasizing the sectarian division ... all in the
implementation of US policy, which does not want a united Iraq, but wants torn
rival hostile regions, killing each other! Each grabbing on tightly to have a
separate region, and thus turned into public demands.
3- In this
atmosphere, maneuvers by ISIS began to gain grounds in Mosul, America saw that
if they entered in this atmosphere with Shiites militias, it will deepen the
rift further and harsher, hence will serve the American goal of increasing
discord between Sunnis and Shiites, so it made Al-Maliki pull the army of
Mosul, leaving his weapons and bank funds behind, and this is what took place...
In June 2014, the fall of Mosul to ISIS was announced; however there were frequent
reports that the Iraqi army withdrew without fighting a real battle, rather
that it surrendered its weapons, hardware, and clothes and left the money in
banks in Mosul, and its army soldiers, officers and security forces fled,
despite their superiority in numbers and equipment. Everyone began to question
the matter and refer to the existence of collusion and deliberate surrendering
of the area for specific purposes. This opinion of collusion was so strong to
the extent that Al-Maliki confessed that what happened was a plot. ("What
Mosul witnessed was a conspiracy," (Al-Maliki page on Facebook, the American
Al-Hurra, 18/8/2015) However he tried to distance himself from it, when it is linked
to him, he was the prime minister and the chief commander of the army and the
first in charge of the battle! This was repeated in Ramadi: the withdrawal of
the stationed troops, the so-called golden group without resistance. Demands to
account Al-Maliki and those responsible began, but the subject was covered up
and thus the lid was closed.
And it seems that
America felt the need to close the subject because its hand is immersed in the
withdrawal of the army because it wanted to facilitate the existence of ISIS,
on the grounds that it is Sunni, its presence next to the Shiite militia will
increase the rift between Sunnis and Shiites for the creation of a regional
federation. This is the reason why it ordered the army to withdraw to
facilitate the entry of ISIS. Not only this, but America has rejected the
bombing of ISIS when it entered Mosul, Obama has stated on 13/06/2014 that
Washington "will not participate in military action in the absence of a
political plan offered by the Iraqis." This is despite the security
agreement that concluded between the United States and Iraq, and despite the
Iraqi government's request to do so, as Iraqi Foreign Minister Zebari said in
Jeddah late Wednesday, 18/6/2014, "Baghdad asked Washington to target the
insurgents with air strikes".
This was
confirmed by General
Dempsey, the chairman of the U.S. military’s Joint Chiefs of Staff in a congressional hearing, which
means that America was not in a hurry to intervene, instead it was delaying intervention
until the atmosphere became ripe for the implementation of the regions’
projects by fueling the situation between the Sunnis and the Shiite so both
sides agree on having separate regions, as in Iraqi Kurdistan, afterwards the
United States will order the fight on ISIS and drive it out of Mosul.
The class-conscious politicians are aware of this and
follow up with this. We mention here the news reported in "Iraq
today," website dated 06/12/2015 from high-level diplomatic sources that
leaked the news to it directly related to the American condition to end ISIS
presence in the country, it stated: "The acceptance of the establishment
of the three main regions that subject to a federal rule in Baghdad is the
basic condition to resolve the Daesh file (ISIS) and to cleanse Iraq of it and
end all secondary powers that replace the power in Baghdad now, especially the
militias led by Iranian orders." The same sources reported, “...
Washington has vowed to take over the protection of the new federal government
in Iraq with the support of the Security Council.”
Thus, the United States proceeded ensued to Al-Maliki with
his sectarianism, and utilized him to provoke the Sunnis to create enmity
between them and the Shiites and then to tear up Iraq in regions with a weak
link with the center, that will soon be cut off and broken. It also took
advantage of ISIS’s view of the Shiites, and it facilitated their entry into
Mosul to increase the rift between the two groups. America took advantage of
ISIS again when it announced a Khilafah after entering Mosul. America focused
on its actions of killing, burning and displacement of civilians and tried to
link these acts to the Khilafah, but Allah (swt) foiled their actions, and
people knew that Al-Baghdadi’s Khilafah is only nonsense and that the Khilafah
that Allah has obliged and is the glad-tiding of the Prophet (saw) for its
return is the truth and is just that people will migrate to for its security
and safety, and it will spread the good not only among its residents but also to
the world.
4- The Turkish presence in northern Iraq is also for the
same purpose i.e. to allow the Sunnis to “flourish” in Iraq like Iran allows
the Shiites to flourish ... and so it contributes to the regional situation in
encouraging regionalization! The entry of Turkey was to deepen the rift, and it
appears as if it is protecting the Sunnis in return for the protection of Iran
for the Shiites ... All this to achieve one goal: to facilitate the division.
As for the insistence of Turkey to participate in this
battle, and the war of words and exchanges between Erdogan and Al-Abadi on the
subject, and Erdogan’s amazement at the Iraqi government’s demand to withdraw the
Turkish troops north-east of Mosul in the Ba'shiqah camp… with the knowledge of
the Iraqi government that this matter is not in the Iraqi government’s hands
nor it is in the Turkish government’s hands, but it is in accordance with the
US policy to make Erdogan's appears like he is saving the Sunnis, through his
word battling with Abadi. Then he encourages the American project of the
"regions" (territories), as Abadi does too. He raises the subject of
Turkish troops excluding the other forces that fill the ground and sky of Iraq!
In order to gain sympathy from the Shiite ... and the two are working for the
same purpose, i.e. to increase tensions between Sunnis and Shiites to serve the
American purpose to dismantle Iraq to form regions.
And the continuation of this bickering: whether it continues
or stops is determined by the American project. This is not the first time that
the Iraqi government demands the withdrawal of Turkish troops. It has called for
it at the end of last year and the Arab League met for this and endorsed it and
raised it to the Security Council to adopt a resolution condemning Turkey and
demanding it to withdraw, but it was like a storm that later pacified! Thus the
involvement of Turkish troops is for this purpose; of the implementation of the
American project of "regions". This is no longer a secret, Erdogan
has stated it, and urged the creation of a region for Mosul, like the one in
the North, he blames those who agreed to the founding of the local government
in northern Iraq, i.e. the Kurdistan region, but they did not agree for a similar
one in the Mosul region. He stated in his speech at Beştepe regarding the
development of Mosul, "... those who voted yes in the local government in
northern Iraq, did not say yes for the same thing in Mosul." (The Time
Turk Newspaper, 18/10/2016)
5- As for why this insistence to
have the Mosul war now, unlike previous American statements, the issue is as
follows:
America was of the view that the
time is not ripe for the war on ISIS and to drive it out of Mosul, and Obama
was not in a hurry to bring this to an end in his term, even some American
officials declared that this will take years ... However things happened that made
Obama accelerate this. Obama wanted to end his ominous term successfully or
with slight success to be ascribed to him ... yet he was relying on Syria
through the cohorts of Iran and its militias and the intensification of the
Russian aerial bombardment. Nonetheless, it seems that he lost hope or almost
did because of the great resilience of the people of Syria, particularly of Aleppo.
Therefore, he turned to Iraq, to Mosul that perhaps he finds a flicker of
success or something of a success! He proceeded hurriedly to enter Mosul and
even left out pockets behind him, including Al-Hawija. The Wall Street Journal said
that the advancing Iraqi forces towards Mosul left out some pockets controlled
by ISIS, such as Hawija, in the center of the province of Kirkuk, which allows
ISIS fighters to possibility counter attack in other areas in Iraq. The
newspaper pointed out in a report that Iraqi leaders did not make the
restoration of Hawija among their priorities, although it is located in the
road between the capital, Baghdad and Mosul, the second largest city in the
country. A Shiite militia leader in Kirkuk - Maitham al-Zaidi – described Hawija
as "a knife in the side of the north of Iraq," saying that the
government rushed to restore Mosul before Hawija, for political reasons, and
international pressure. (Al-Jazeera, 28/10/2016)
Thus the battle of Mosul began on
17/10/2016. It was stated that there will be a participation of 140,000 soldiers
from the Iraqi army and Peshmerga forces and forces from the crowd of tribes,
and nationals, and others. A spokesman for the US Department of Defense Peter
Cook said: "The international coalition led by Washington is supporting
the Iraqi forces fully during the Battle of Mosul," and referred to
"the presence of American troops in the background lines in the battle of the
restoration of Mosul in order to provide assistance and logistical support for
the Iraqi army and Peshmerga forces." (Reuters, 17/10/2016) The United
States had announced late last September that it would increase the number of its
troops in Iraq by adding another 600 troops to the 4,400 upon the request of
the Prime Minister Haider Al-Abadi. The battle is meant to continue during the
American election campaign and beyond, until the end of Obama’s term, so he
achieves recorded victories for him and the Democrats in American history.
Although the battle of Mosul is not easy because of the disputes between
internal forces, and because of the disputes between regional powers (Turkey
and Iran), this disputes feuds and calms the fight in Mosul. Although as long
as the influential factor in these forces is the same factor (America), the
disputes are not expected to stop the battle for long, until required by US
policy.
6- America has given a role to Europe, which is not
independent, but rather as part of the alliance, particularly France and
Britain, so that they are controlled under the American-led alliance, so as not
to be distant and disrupt America's goals behind the war, which is the
dismantling of Iraq into regions. As usual, France tries to be prominent in
such events, retaliation to the ISIS attack in France. It held a conference in
Paris on 20/10/2016 to discuss "the political future of the city of Mosul,"
and invited the foreign ministers and representatives of twenty countries and
organizations for the protection of civilians. France called for another
conference for defense ministers in the international coalition against ISIS on
25/10/2016. Following this meeting the US Secretary of Defense Ashton Carter stated,
as his country is the leader of the alliance that discussions focused on how to
end ISIS control of Raqa ... and what can the Alliance do to speed up the
implementation of the plan and how to protect the territory of the Member
States from ISIS attacks was reached (Aljazeera 26/10/2016). This points to the
leadership of the United States to these countries where it talks about
protecting the territory of the Member States from ISIS attacks.
7- Will we see an end of ISIS if Mosul fell out of its
hand? It does not seem so, but the organization will resort to war, to strike
and run, here and there, and continue its activity from outside of the cities. It
was expelled out from the center of Ramadi, yet remained around it. And so if
it is removed out of Mosul, it will remain hovering around it, only to come
back as it was
before
2014, and as it is now practically, an armed organization fighting in the
deserts and mountains and in the outskirts of towns and villages. Due to its
lack of political consciousness, it might undertake actions it sees in its
advantage, but it might be exploited to the interests of the Kaffir colonial
states, and perhaps it realizes it.
8- As for America, it is not likely to abandon its plan to
divide Iraq into three federations, it even became the country’s policy with
regards to Iraq. In 2006, the US Congress had approved the project of dividing
Iraq into three federal regions, Kurdish, Sunni and Shiite, but the decision
was not binding for the President. However, President Bush announced that day
"the conditions are not favorable for the implementation of the resolution."
The draft resolution was presented by Senator Joseph Biden, who later became vice
president to US President Obama in 2009. Biden actively worked towards the
implementation of the resolution without a formal announcement, and Obama
handed him the Iraq file. America drafted the Iraqi constitution on this basis.
So their actions now and in the future are moving towards its implementation. Reclaiming
Mosul will be followed by the search in the political formula for the
management of these areas, the so-called Sunni areas, which is the hardest
episode because the Shiite areas are less difficult. However, it is not easy to
pass this project, because in Iraq there are men faithful to Allah (swt), true
to the Messenger of Allah (saw), and will not accept the division of their
country, and will stand in the face of such projects to thwart them, Allah
willing, Allah is Strong and Mighty.
9- In conclusion, O people of Iraq O people of Rafidain, we
address you as we did before: Islam had united you for centuries, and it shaded
you with its banner for a long time, and you were strong and dignified, sharing
the good together, and fighting evil together. Your land is the land of victories,
the land of Qadisiyah, the land of Buwaib, the land of Harun Al-Rashid, Al Mutassim,
and Salahuddin, the land of former and subsequent conquerors, Allah willing. A
unified Iraq is strong with its people, and a divided Iraq is weak by its
dividers... If the Kurds thought that the presence of the Kurdistan region or
state of Kurdistan will bring glory to them, it will not exceed a short term,
but it will be their destruction after a while... If the Sunnis thought that the creation of a
region for them in northern and western Iraq will bring them a better life, it
will not span a long period, and moreover it will bring them further misery and
hardship. If the Shia thought that having their own region in the south will
create for them a force of tyranny, it would be only for a short time, and then
matters will reverse to bring weakness and humiliation.
O people of Rafidain,
Reject sectarianism and racism: «دَعُوهَا فَإِنَّهَا مُنْتِنَةٌ» “…leave it, it is rotten” (Narrated by Bukhari on
the authority of Jabir)
Reject sectarian
titles, and cling to the name that Allah (swt) chose for us: ﴿هُوَ سَمَّاكُمُ الْمُسْلِمِينَ﴾ “He
called you Muslims” [Al-Hajj: 78].
So return to Him (swt) and hold fast to Him, you will gain the
glory, otherwise humiliation will strike you from everywhere.
﴿إِنَّ فِي ذَلِكَ لَذِكْرَى لِمَنْ كَانَ لَهُ قَلْبٌ أَوْ
أَلْقَى السَّمْعَ وَهُوَ شَهِيدٌ﴾
“Indeed in that a
reminder for whoever has a heart or who listens while he is present [in mind].” [Qaf: 37]
29 Muharram 1438 AH
30/10/2016 CE
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